Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.087313 0.097221 0.107410 0.118644 0.130658 0.143094 0.156913
2025-01-12 0.070560 0.085342 0.101370 0.119915 0.140658 0.163026 0.188850
2025-01-19 0.058023 0.075751 0.095910 0.120226 0.148456 0.179909 0.217309
2025-01-26 0.053279 0.074014 0.098504 0.129001 0.165401 0.206927 0.257343
2025-02-02 0.046307 0.068527 0.095784 0.130789 0.173674 0.223673 0.285529
2025-02-09 0.041167 0.064590 0.094326 0.133566 0.182730 0.241107 0.314462
2025-02-16 0.035691 0.059507 0.090820 0.133270 0.187622 0.253296 0.337032
2025-02-23 0.033842 0.059094 0.093177 0.140300 0.201583 0.276546 0.373104
2025-03-02 0.031761 0.058077 0.094522 0.145875 0.213650 0.297514 0.406561
2025-03-09 0.027390 0.053209 0.090175 0.143519 0.215223 0.305206 0.423550
2025-03-16 0.023216 0.048152 0.085133 0.139831 0.214729 0.310049 0.436831
2025-03-23 0.021801 0.047302 0.086035 0.144268 0.224974 0.328618 0.467463
2025-03-30 0.020000 0.045770 0.086012 0.147650 0.234242 0.346569 0.498244
2025-04-06 0.018046 0.043782 0.085190 0.149873 0.242031 0.362821 0.527245
2025-04-13 0.015949 0.041280 0.083379 0.150526 0.247614 0.376230 0.552761
2025-04-20 0.016048 0.042840 0.088051 0.160863 0.266850 0.407938 0.602309
2025-04-27 0.014526 0.041119 0.087294 0.162989 0.274531 0.424320 0.632063
2025-05-04 0.013361 0.039944 0.087322 0.166234 0.283788 0.442865 0.664783
2025-05-11 0.011717 0.037550 0.085115 0.165896 0.287820 0.454331 0.688235
2025-05-18 0.011558 0.038306 0.088327 0.174057 0.304236 0.482773 0.734366
2025-05-25 0.011150 0.038456 0.090454 0.180513 0.318222 0.507999 0.776396
2025-06-01 0.009511 0.035548 0.086939 0.177788 0.318572 0.514376 0.793197
2025-06-08 0.007881 0.032340 0.082614 0.173515 0.316436 0.517179 0.805121